Wednesday, August 1, 2012

Pigs, Relativity, Statistics and What Sells

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I am blown away by the psychosis going on worldwide about this new flu virus that very sadly killed a amount of people in Mexico.  It is not at all my intention to undermine the danger or the gravity and tragedy for the families who lost their loved ones to this virus. 

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However, I would like a minuscule bit of relativity and perspective in media coverage and allow people to live a general life, without the phobia of some obscure virus.
Here are some statistics:

In 2007, there were 41,059 road deaths in the Us.  This, by the way, was the bottom since 1994.  It is a pretty high amount absolutely if you bring it back to the reality of distraught families, children, parents, husbands and wives.  everyone can somehow recite to that.  I lived in the Cayman Islands for 7 years.  That amount is more or less the people of the island I lived on.  So in one year, it would be like approximately an whole -albeit small - country destroyed.

Now let's look at it from other perspective:  There are just over 300 million inhabitants in the Us.  Going back to my 4th or 5th grade class (or was it later or earlier?), let me see if I can come up with a percentage.  Please precise me if I am wrong: 41,059 out of 300,000,000 comes to about 0.013% of the population.  It doesn't seem like a lot any more, does it?

Cancer deaths are in the 500,000 yearly.  That's approximately 0.17% of the population. Cardiovascular diseases claim colse to 900,000 lives on average, i.e. 0.3% of the population.  The total death rate in the Us in 2008 was 8.27 per 1000 population, in other words 0.8%.  The median death rate in Africa is about 13 or 14 per 1000, which is approximately double.  Some African countries reach the sad description of close to 30 per 1000.

So back to the Us:  As I am writing this, the airwaves are raving all over the world about 40 cases of a new form of flu that has not killed whatever yet in this country.  40 cases!!!!  Out of 300 million people living in the Us!  Do you want to know what division that is of non-dead people?  0.00013%!!!  Since when is that an epidemic?

Why have we been hearing about this constantly over the last few days?  Airlines are cancelling flights to Mexico, people are cancelling their vacation...  We have created a phobia!  There are, as I write this, about 1600 alleged cases of the swine flu in Mexico, 149 confirmed deaths.  There are approximately 110 million inhabitants in Mexico, about 20 million of which are in Mexico City.  Do I need to do the math? 

Can we focus on the fact that 99.99987% of the American people does not have the swine flu?  Can we focus on the fact that, this year, 99.2% of the American people is absolutely going to live and enjoy life?  Can we remember that thousands of people drive their car every day and come back home safe?  Can we be aware of all the life colse to us and enjoy it?

I would like to dare the media, just for one week, to show only unavoidable news, to show the reality of the world and not just the drama, blood and twisted news that they always show.  For each car crash that makes the headline, there have been thousands of safe trips in the very same spot.  For each case of the swine flu, there are thousands healthy and happy kids in schools' playground.  Let's put things into perspective and carry on living life!

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